Accurate energy consumption forecasting is essential for optimizing energy use and promoting sustainability in both urban environments and smart households. This study presents an AI-driven multi-scale forecasting framework that integrates global climate and solar energy datasets from NASA and ESA with smart household consumption data. Four models, Support Vector Regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Long Short-Term Memory, and a hybrid Support Vector Regression-Multi-Layer Perceptron (SVR-MLP), were evaluated across multiple temporal resolutions (hourly, 3-hourly, 6-hourly, 12-hourly, and daily). The hybrid SVR-MLP consistently outperformed the other approaches, while variations across households revealed distinct consumption behaviors, underscoring the influence of occupant-specific factors on forecasting accuracy. By integrating remote sensing data with AI-based models, the proposed framework offers a flexible and scalable solution for energy monitoring and optimization, supporting eco-efficiency and data-driven sustainable energy management.

Multi-scale energy forecasting in smart households: Leveraging AI and remotely sensed climate data for sustainable energy management

Ehtsham M.
;
Rotilio M.
;
Cucchiella F.
2025-01-01

Abstract

Accurate energy consumption forecasting is essential for optimizing energy use and promoting sustainability in both urban environments and smart households. This study presents an AI-driven multi-scale forecasting framework that integrates global climate and solar energy datasets from NASA and ESA with smart household consumption data. Four models, Support Vector Regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Long Short-Term Memory, and a hybrid Support Vector Regression-Multi-Layer Perceptron (SVR-MLP), were evaluated across multiple temporal resolutions (hourly, 3-hourly, 6-hourly, 12-hourly, and daily). The hybrid SVR-MLP consistently outperformed the other approaches, while variations across households revealed distinct consumption behaviors, underscoring the influence of occupant-specific factors on forecasting accuracy. By integrating remote sensing data with AI-based models, the proposed framework offers a flexible and scalable solution for energy monitoring and optimization, supporting eco-efficiency and data-driven sustainable energy management.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11697/276939
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