We introduce a stochastic price model where, together with a random component, a moving average of logarithmic prices contributes to the price formation. The future price is linearly influenced by the difference between the moving average and the current price, together with a noise component. Our model is tested against financial datasets, showing an extremely good agreement with them.
Moving averages and price dynamics
SERVA, Maurizio
2002-01-01
Abstract
We introduce a stochastic price model where, together with a random component, a moving average of logarithmic prices contributes to the price formation. The future price is linearly influenced by the difference between the moving average and the current price, together with a noise component. Our model is tested against financial datasets, showing an extremely good agreement with them.File in questo prodotto:
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